BIKE: Re: The should-be intelligent transportation solutions lobby

[Mike Dahmus]

Patrick Goetz wrote:

> Mike Dahmus wrote:
>
>>
>> Your analogy sucks.
>>
>> In this case, you know damn well what my preference would be if I 
>> were czar:
>>
>> 1. Don't built those highways at all
>> [...]
>> 999. Build them as toll roads
>> 1000. Build them as free roads
>>
>
> Of course I know this.  This is why my analogy *doesn't* suck.  My 
> point is why are you expending any energy on option #999 when you 
> should be throwing all your weight behind #1 or #2?

Because I act on these assumptions, all of which I believe to be quite 
reasonable:

A. Chance of #1 beating either #999 or #1000 in the near-term (next few 
years): 0.0000000%.
B. Chance of #999 beating #1000: 50% or so.
C. How much better is #999 than #1000? Quite a bit.

Nader voters in Florida in 2000 ("Tee Hee Ain't You The Dickens") may 
disagree with this point.

And if you disagree about the chances of #1 in the near-term, you need 
to spend some time out here in the 'burbs. Or, perhaps, you could just 
take my word for it, since I'm continuously immersed in suburban hell 
most of the day, while you work at UT.

- MD